Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.037587 0.040582 0.043725 0.047275 0.051178 0.055345 0.060139
2025-04-20 0.032813 0.037049 0.041740 0.047342 0.053877 0.061290 0.070381
2025-04-27 0.029925 0.034945 0.040737 0.047959 0.056783 0.067289 0.080865
2025-05-04 0.027368 0.032819 0.039315 0.047699 0.058337 0.071523 0.089322
2025-05-11 0.025388 0.031132 0.038168 0.047523 0.059786 0.075531 0.097629
2025-05-18 0.023707 0.029638 0.037078 0.047232 0.060934 0.079088 0.105484
2025-05-25 0.022352 0.028432 0.036227 0.047117 0.062210 0.082799 0.113742
2025-06-01 0.020952 0.027057 0.035033 0.046411 0.062557 0.085168 0.120185
2025-06-08 0.019641 0.025710 0.033773 0.045496 0.062493 0.086872 0.125696
2025-06-15 0.018627 0.024700 0.032898 0.045036 0.063004 0.089388 0.132570
2025-06-22 0.017728 0.023791 0.032102 0.044616 0.063511 0.091882 0.139555
2025-06-29 0.016770 0.022747 0.031050 0.043745 0.063255 0.093149 0.144607
2025-07-06 0.016286 0.022357 0.030920 0.044242 0.065137 0.097907 0.155916
2025-07-13 0.015687 0.021770 0.030470 0.044221 0.066194 0.101408 0.165393
2025-07-20 0.015290 0.021457 0.030401 0.044770 0.068177 0.106542 0.178194
2025-07-27 0.014714 0.020847 0.029852 0.044525 0.068837 0.109480 0.187265
2025-08-03 0.014199 0.020305 0.029376 0.044362 0.069604 0.112633 0.197001
2025-08-10 0.013695 0.019754 0.028857 0.044094 0.070164 0.115440 0.206311
2025-08-17 0.013261 0.019293 0.028455 0.043988 0.070985 0.118753 0.216906
2025-08-24 0.012730 0.018659 0.027750 0.043339 0.070804 0.120207 0.223867
2025-08-31 0.012189 0.017988 0.026957 0.042496 0.070223 0.120865 0.229218
2025-09-07 0.011769 0.017492 0.026425 0.042072 0.070367 0.122888 0.237634
2025-09-14 0.011381 0.017032 0.025931 0.041685 0.070548 0.124985 0.246398